CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1.pdf

- s Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1 COPY wo. 1F" SECRET FOR THE ASSISTANT DIRECTOR FOR REPORTS AND ESTIMATES FRENCH LABOR UNREST IN 1950 AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ATTAINMENT OF US OBJECTIVES IN WESTERN EUROPE d _ tens a an i . Published 10 April 1950 te Tis 7 : ta Pa rr | a ‘ “. is the Cearr. | ; Nr, Saad . —3 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY RETURN TO ARCHIVES f RECORDS CERTER IMAMEDIAVELY AFTER Oh nv S$ Cong “0.7 7 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : iClA- RDP78- 01617003800070002: S - i ve - :

Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1 WARNING This document contains information affecting the na- tional defense of the United States within the meaning of the Espionage Act, 50 U.S.C., 31 and 32, as amended. Its transmission or the revelation of its contents in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1

Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1 SEC DISSEMINATION NOTICE 1. This copy of this publication is for the information and use of the recipient designated on the front cover and of individuals under the jurisdiction of the recipient’s office who require the information for the performance of their official duties. Further dissemination elsewhere in the department to other offices which require the informa- tion for the performance of official duties may be authorized by the following: a. Special Assistant to the Secretary of State for Research and In…

S Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1 ET FRENCH LABOR UNREST IN 1950 AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ATTAINMENT OF US OBJECTIVES IN WESTERN EUROPE SUMMARY French labor discontent will be among the basic factors contributing to a slowing down in 1950 of French progress toward objectives that the US has set for Europe. The follow- ing specific results of this dissatisfaction are to be exepected: (1) the expanded efforts, which the whole French nation must now make in support of the ERP’s long-term aims, will be retarded more than had been antici- pated;…

2 SEC erted directly either by labor’s political influ- ence on the middle-of-the-road parties or through work stoppages. The Communist Party may well succeed, at least temporarily, in reversing its steady loss of influence in France in 1949. The modest capabilities which France may gradually develop for supporting the MDAP with materiel and equipment will be limited in part by the effects of labor unrest through Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1 T 1950. The CGT’s long-range capabilities for hampering the MDAP will be assisted by these effects, d…

SE Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1 FRENCH LABOR UNREST IN 1950 AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ATTAINMENT OF US OBJECTIVES IN WESTERN EUROPE French labor discontent, which has been building up steadily over the past six months, will be aggravated in 1950. This prospect is of particular concern to the US because labor unrest will be among the basic factors which will contribute to a slowing down of French progress toward objectives that the US has set for Europe. Although it is impossible to make specific quantitative estimates of the direct or res…

Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/05/02 : CIA-RDP78-01617A003800070002-1 4 SUPRET 1. Economic Considerations. The anticipated strikes will be among the major developments—including competition in foreign markets, continued deficit-financ- ing of the budget, and decreasing ECA aid— which will probably retard the increase of in- dustrial production in 1950.* Interruptions in the flow of materials and in production processes over a number of months will act as a drag both on the volume of production and on productivity (rate of output per man- hour). Productivity will be adversely affect…

S Christian Labor Confederation (CFTC), through its connections with the left wing of the Popular Republican Party (MRP), was and remains able to influence its actions. The current seizure of the initiative by labor, which led to the Socialists’ withdrawal from the already wobbly Third Force coalition, risks the downfall of the present government and, subsequently, the dissolution of the Assembly. Although the Socialists apparently hope to avert a showdown in the Assembly which might hasten this event, labor is now in a po- sition to force their hand in pressing for prompt satisfaction of its …