28931013.pdf

CONFIDENTIAL
Incident #168

ATTN NO. ---
AF NO. ---
PERIOD NO. ---
DATE OF REPORT ---
TIME OF SIGHTING 1330
SHIPS A/C with 2 decks and no wings
SIZE ---
COUNTER ---
NO. IN GROUP 1
FROM Same as V-2
PRIMARY ---
GENTLESS ---

DATE OF REPORT ---

DATE OF INFO 20 July 1948
LOCATION Arnhem, Holland
SOURCE Civil Official
DATE IN TO ATIC ---
COLOG ---
SPEED (Comparable to V-2) High
ALTITUDE Very high
LENGTH OF TIME OBSERVED ---
TYPE OF OBSERVATION Ground
MANNERS ---

Compassary ATIC Form 329
(2 Jan 52)

Staff Evidence

UNCLASSIFIED

Incident #163 -- The Hague -- 20 July 1948

The information given here is too limited even for guesswork. It is extremely difficult to take at face value the report of an aircraft with two decks and no wings travelling with supersonic speed, even if "seen four times through clouds" by the chief of the Court of Damage and his daughter. It seems much more probable that the observers had a subjective impression of ordinary aircraft or a fireball. Even though these two items are at opposite ends of the scale, there is nothing in the evidence to favor one or the other.

In passing, it…

Incident No. 168 -- 20 July 1948, 1330 Hours, Arnheim, The Hague.

One observer saw an object intermittently through clouds four times. The object had two decks and no wings, was said to be very high, with speed comparable to V-2.

AMC Opinion: Insufficient information. It may be well to point out that the V-2 is not visible in flight, therefore, it follows that this object would not have been visible as described if traveling at that speed.

Dr HYNEK'S EVALUATIONS EXTRACTED FROM PROJECT GRUDGE REPORT.

INCIDENT INDEX

1. Astronomical

a. High probability:
#26, 27, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 48, 49, 59, 60, 66, 69, 70, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 101, 102, 103, 104, 116, 119, 132, 136, 140, 147, 148, 158, 174, 184, 185, 187, 197, 203, 204, 208, 216, 219, 238.

b. Fair or low probability:
#19, 20, 23, 24, 28, 35, 36, 46, 50, 63, 67, 80, 82, 93, 100, 112, 120, 121, 129, 130, 144, 153, 165, 166, 167, 175, 192, 199, 202, 205, 220, 230, 240.

2. Non-astronomical but suggestive of other explanations

a. Balloons or ordinary aircraft:
#3, 11, 22, 41, 42…

20 July 48

With 10h incidents thus eliminated, there remain thirty-four
which contain some evidence but have no apparent ready explanation.
This statement is true only under the assumption that the evidence is
accepted as reliable and accurate. When psychological and physical
Logical factors are taken into consideration, all of these incidents
can be explained rationally, as pointed out by Rand Corporation and
Dr. Fitts of Air Material Command Aero-Medical Laboratory (see
"C").

Air Material Command Aeroclinical Laboratory (see
212 Incidents considered)

There are sufficient psychological exp…