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AARO_GoFast_Case_Resolution_Methodology.pdf
AARO·Case_Resolutions·pdf·1.7 MB·26 pages
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UNCLASSIFIED 1 UNCLASSIFIED All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office U.S. Department of Defense Case: “Go Fast” Case Resolution | February 6, 2025 Case Essentials Location: Eastern coast of Florida Date: January 2015 Object Altitude (reported): Near ocean’s surface Object Altitude (assessed): 13,000 feet Object Speed (reported): Appeared to move at high speeds Object Speed (assessed): 5 mph - 92 mph Object Shape (reported): Round Object Shape (assessed): Spherical or oblate ellipsoid Reporter: U.S. Navy Sensor: Forward Looking Infrared Reported Behavior: Moved at…
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UNCLASSIFIED 2 UNCLASSIFIED Determining the object’s true speed and direction of travel (heading) requires knowing the F/A- 18F’s heading. AARO calculated the object’s speed and heading relative to the aircraft because the video display does not contain the aircraft’s heading. AARO calculated the object’s position and direction of travel for the entire range of possible wind directions (0° - 360°) to account for differences in atmospheric conditions between the F/A-18F’s altitude and object’s altitude. This comprehensive modeling informed AARO’s assessment of whether the object mov…
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UNCLASSIFIED 3 UNCLASSIFIED Figure 2: The y-axis represents the difference between the object’s heading and the wind direction at 13,000 feet. The x-axis represents the wind’s heading relative to the F/A-18F’s airframe geometry (0° is a headwind). The curve represents the object’s range of possible directions compared to the wind. The tailwind, headwind, and crosswinds are denoted by the colored lines. The maximum deviation in the UAP’s direction of travel from wind direction is 32.1°. Figures 1 and 2 can be used to find the object’s speed and heading compared to the wind for…
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UNCLASSIFIED 4 UNCLASSIFIED reference. The more quickly an observer moves relative to an observed object, the more pronounced this effect is. Data Quality and Methodology AARO analyzed the publicly available 34-second FLIR video, because the original file and its accompanying metadata are no longer available. The video display provided sufficient information to assess the object’s altitude and a range of possible speeds. The display showed: • The range (distance) from the FLIR sensor to the target. • The FLIR camera’s azimuth (left-right angle) and elevation (up-down angle). • …
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UNCLASSIFIED 5 UNCLASSIFIED Appendix A: Estimating UAP Location, Speed, and Heading from “Go Fast” FLIR Video Data February 2025 Introduction In 2024, the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) estimated possible altitude, speed, and heading solutions for an unidentified anomalous phenomenon (UAP), commonly known as “Go Fast.” The executive summary, general overview, and conclusions are provided in the AARO “Go Fast” Case resolution [ref 1]. This paper presents a more in-depth data analysis for those interested in the mathematics and calculations applied to the forward-loo…
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UNCLASSIFIED 6 UNCLASSIFIED Data The only data available to AARO from the “Go Fast” event were from a compressed Windows Media File (.wmv) [ref 4]. The recording’s metadata does not contain the F/A-18’s georeferenced position and heading, which are necessary to determine the UAP’s absolute position and flight characteristics. The sensor display does contain enough information to find a speed, relative heading, and altitude of the UAP. These necessary pieces of information are the elevation angle of the sensor, the azimuth angle of the sensor, the range from the F/A-18 to the t…
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UNCLASSIFIED 7 UNCLASSIFIED Table I contains the data extracted from the video footage at t1 and t2. Range and altitude were converted to metric units to maintain consistency in calculations. The F/A-18 bank angle was measured using the yellow lines drawn over the level flight and roll indicator lines in the display as depicted in Figure 1. This angle, denoted by θB, was approximately 14° from t1 to t2. An average aircraft altitude of 7,621 m was assumed over this time frame. The speed in Mach number was converted to m/s [ref 5] at the altitude of the F/A-18, resulting in an a…
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UNCLASSIFIED 8 UNCLASSIFIED Figure 4: The three axes defined relative to an air platform in FMV analysis. Longitudinal is the +x, Transverse is the +y, and Vertical is the +z (pointing down). This coordinate system was applied to the F/A-18 as depicted in Figure 3. Because the aircraft altitude was constant over the duration of flight, its path is level and confined to the x-y plane (z = 0). Figure 5: The top-down view coordinate system defined with the position of the F/A-18 at the origin with coordinates [0,0,0]. The aircraft is moving in the +x direction. With the posit…
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