ev-narr-8f83982aeb2b

Project Mogul balloon program (1947-1949)

1947Resolved prosaic

Strangeness (S)

0.0

Credibility (P)

1.0

Evidence (EVID)

1.0

Date conf

9.0

Loc conf

0.0

Narrative

Project Mogul (1947-1949) was a U.S. Army Air Force program developing high-altitude balloons with sensors to detect Soviet nuclear tests and ballistic missiles. AARO and the USAF assess that a crashed Mogul balloon outside Roswell, NM is the source of the original 1947 UFO/'flying disc' claim.

extracted via: narrative_subagent

Source documents (1)

Click filename to view on Internet Archive (where these are mirrored as public-domain US-government records).

AARO_Historical_Record_Report_Volume_1_2024.pdfAAROvalue 6.8[direct]

Score evidence (5)

Why this event scored the way it did. Every contribution is traceable.

s

outcome=resolved_prosaic (cap S<=3)
post-blend cap S<=3 (resolved_prosaic)

p

docs=1 (+0.5)
single agency (+0.5)

evid

narrative only (base 1)